Thursday, December 6, 2012

Cuusoo Analytics: Days to 10k

 Crawler Effect, why is it not on the list (yet), and continuing support

 The Space Shuttle Crawler by Teazza has brought in a lot of new supporters for Cuusoo in the last week and, like most "real space" themed projects do, given a boost to other real space projects.  

People who are new to my site might be wondering why the crawler is not on the table below.  I usually post this at the end of the table (and still am) but since I am getting a lot of new readers now a days so I figured I should point it out, especially when such a popular new model shows up. 

Basically if I reported on the current rate of support for the Crawler it would indicate something along the line of 44 days to maturity.  While this is a "possibility" it is a very slim one.  Most projects do their best in their first week and their last.  The second week is almost always half as good as the first, at best, with a rapid decline after that to their "maintenance level" of support.    This might not be the case, especially if the community is moved enough to keep expanding its exposure, but that is really up to the masses. 

Back to the point at hand.  My predictive model is based on several weeks of data to smooth out the effect of any bursts of support, especially that enjoyed by projects in their first week.   So, it will be another couple weeks before this shows up for reporting.

In the meantime, if you want this project to keep a strong pace then you (yes YOU) need to do something about it.  Tweet this project to everyone at NASA asking for a retweet.  Heck, anyone with lots of followers and a technical or space stint will do, like Neil deGrasse Tyson.  However in Dr.Tyson's case, the Hubble is a much more appropriate request.

Lets put that into some actual perspective real quick, Neil deGrasse Tyson has 878,364 followers.  If he tweeted about it, and JUST 1% of his followers turned around and supported the shuttle crawler...that would bring the project to 9359 SUPPORT.

What to tweet?  How about this:

@neiltyson Please vote for Lego Shuttle Crawler and Hubble and they might get produced

You can apply this technique to any project you like. For instance

@StephenAtHome Vote for Minas Tirith and Argonath and Lego might produce them


@grantimahara Please Vote for this gear logic lego sorting robot!

Also, upvote the project in Reddits that are outside of Lego.  Find one that exists or start your own.  Start your own.  Pinning it is another option.  The point is that we really need to expose the project to people outside the established Lego community.   All the "low hanging fruit" has been picked at this point.  If speeds are to be kept up, the community needs to step up.

"Travelling Theatre"

The great readers of Brickset certainly turned out to support the Travelling  Theatre this week.  As a side effect the Medieval builds of AlepX got a bump in their support rates as well.



Approaching 1k Milestone

The Ginormous UCS All Terrain Armored Transport should be passing the 1k mark any day now, well, in about two days actually unless this article inspires some people ;).                  

Bugatti Veyron 16.4 Grandsport
Support Level: 986
the Rhinoceros by Theo Jansen
Support Level: 974

Deadline Review

The next review is March 3rd, 2012.  That is 87 days from today.  So it looks like Exo Suit is going to play the same game that Space Marines did as they are currently at 89 days.  They will likely make it as long as they maintain their healthy support rate through the next three months.

Don't like how slow a project is going? 

Give it some indirect support to help speed things up.  This link has plenty of examples how.

Days to 10K

ProjectCreatorRate10k 1k
Exo SuitPeterreid18.28 89
Land-Rover Defender 110Sheepo19.83 157
- The Legend of Zelda Project -Ragaru19.74 188
Andy/Bugdroid the Android by GoogleGlhturbo10.81 197
Female Minifigure SetAlatariel29.15 297
Mini Shop SeriesPekko16.05 399
Batmobile Tumbler Minifig ScaleBrentwaller9.46 572
Macross VF-1 Valkyrie +Fast pack / Armored partsMaxvf18.05 653
Reddit AlienPepaquin12.8 73431
LEGO Bird SeriesDetomaso7.71 736
Labyrinth Marble MazeTouthomme6.59 1060
LEGO PokémonKevinhink7.66 11849
Ambulance (Type 3 / Type III)Spacysmoke8.05 118769
Japanese old style architectureTaxon554.32 1420
Apollo 11 Lunar MissionSuzuki5.19 1476
Invisible HandLdiego4.61 1530
Corellian Defender (Star Wars the Old Republic)Glenbricker5.92 154625
Medieval Travelling TheatreBobsy6.03 1607114
The Glory of RomeMminnitt4.17 1833
BTTF - UCS DeLorean Time MachineTeambttf3.69 1844
MINECRAFT Microworld Add-Ons!Dunc2374.85 190650
LEGO Architecture - Leaning Tower of PisaMoctown3.73 1937
Batman: Killer Croc's LairBrickqueen4.17 1963
Modular Apple StoreGotoandbuild2.96 1974
Ultimate Collectors Series LightsabersScott345673.78 2157
Modular Town Plan CinemaHinckley3.78 2238
The Muppets!Jedikermit3.54 2441
Legend of Korra: Mecha Tank, Korra, Amon, Hiroshi, & Supporter's ChoiceGlenBricker3.94 2479195
League of Legends of LegoAddam2.81 2486
Douglas DC-3Ssorg3.44 2494
The Bat RisesVelociraptor3.44 2505
GhostbustersTeekay3.15 2554
Realistic treesPaultox3.15 2579
Flying DutchmanSebeus3.35 2593
Small YELLOWBrickartist3.1 2640
PianoHidaka2.52 2725
Micro Scale Star Wars ScenesToomuchcaffe3.01 2753
MEGADETHMegzter3.49 2768189
Vampire GT SupercarCrowkillers2.76 2783
Model of Hogwarts CastleScorpius3.36 2893214
LEGO Settlers of CatanMichael2.72 2950
Galaxy Diner and Empire TheaterSonicstar2.96 2981
Western Town - Pif Paf CityKris_kelvin2.91 3010
Modular Costume Store for Collectible MinifiguresBrentwaller2.96 308342
Batman: Man-Bat's LabBrickqueen2.76 3110
Red SquirrelVuurzoon2.67 3134
Adventure Time! Tree FortDunc2372.91 3268175
Motorized TumblerMahj2.76 330140
Pokemon: GyaradosRetinence2.62 3310
LEGO Mobile Designer for Nintendo 3DS & other devicesFrankie2.38 3367
Transforming Retro Video Game AccessoriesVonbrunk2.57 3493
Corner Candy Modular BuildingWaltzking2.67 3498127
Medieval Market StreetAlexp2.57 351513
UCS All Terrain Armoured TransportCavegod2.52 35742
Lego StoreRayc2.47 3595
Bugatti Veyron 16.4 GrandsportSheepo2.47 36506
Porsche 997 GT3Crowkillers2.57 3653151
Castle CrashersCzar2.23 3660
HardsuitsIron_s2.42 3670
Legolympus (Mythology Theme with Mount Olympus Set)Kiffington2.47 367127
Desktop Series: Sky-FiRongyiren2.47 367531
- MegaMan Project -Alatariel2.57 3748246
LEGO Star Wars Micro Chess SetAvisolo2.28 3822
LEGO Minecraft Board GameOrcaman42.38 3908126
UCS Star Wars Jedi Temple CoruscantDimitriniko2.04 4231
Star Wars Universe PacksBorex2.23 4255219
RMS TitanicSsorg2.13 4361135
MINI Cooper Mark ISheepo2.09 4438132
Star Wars Season 4 Phase 2 Clone Battle PacksZspace2.14 4467262
Minifigure hand with attachment pointpotluck2.18 4473344
Dump Truck 10x4Designer_han2.09 4529223
Majestic Airship!Ssorg1.99 4623100
Marvel Avengers Board GamePekko2.04 4650239
CLONE WARS INFANTRY PACKSDavid-hall1.89 478321
The Drake's Head InnAlexp1.94 4784145
Phineas and FerbAwesomeethan1.6 4900
Angry Birds - RedChiukeung1.8 4910
ARAK-N3Mahj1.84 5012121
Log Cabin - Two Seasons!Ssorg1.84 5110218
Food TruckSpacysmoke1.84 5164273
MacrofiguresCrashsanders1.79 5185157
Mirage (realistically speaking)Nannan1.41 5314
MARS BASE (Modular with interiors)GRusso1.83 5350432
RESEARCH LAB SUBMARINE (Modular with interiors)GRusso1.75 5562419
Wild EncountersWrinkledog1.6 571085
Star Wars Opee Sea KillerPepaquin1.55 5784
Goblin Fortress RuinsAlexp1.6 5912287
Ancient World CivilizationsMatija1.5 5994
LEGO UCS TARDIS and other Doctor Who setsXenomurphy1.5 606565
HONDA CBR1000rr REPSOL versionOryx1.55 6300493
Roller CoasterLuc20001.45 630396
Modular Death StarRunar1.5 6434434
Lego Mountain BikingJ4mes1.21 6476
Prototype Attack Mecha Alpha ZeroDanr1.36 6498
Mini BatmobileTiler1.41 6629246
LOTR UCS ArgonathShayd_DeGrai1.45 6708501
Lego minifigures in action figure boxes! A new way to collect!Gruntbuddy1.41 6709326
LEGO WALL-E!!Suzuki1.36 6783165
Modular Police StationEzzkazz1.41 6831448
The Wizard's HouseAlexp1.36 7113495
Death Star II wall/desk clock sculptureWwwally1.26 7568425
Medusa's TempleStrider1.26 7581439
Mini CooperSteven19801.16 7686
IRON MAN gantrymachineChoisanghun1.21 7816378
Willys JEEPSuzuki1.12 7919
Lego DC Heroes Minifigures Series 1Maniacdude1.21 7943505
EVE Online Ships - MerlinCzar1.07 7951
Apollo 11 - Scale Model - Lunar OrbitJohnmknight1.21 8043605
the Rhinoceros by Theo JansenKvanb1.12 805924
UCS Venator-Class Star DestroyerJourianbax1.16 8153394
Rebel SnowspeederDrakmin1.16 8331572
BTTF - Biff Tannen's FordTeambttf1.16 8350591
James Bond's Aston Martin DB5JJOttens1.12 8695659
Kashyyyk-Gunship 7676 UCS - Custom Star Wars 3d_predator1.07 8857445
Minecraft, the NetherDookie1.07 8861450
Avengers IRONMAN gantrymachine2.0Choisanghun1.07 8881470
LEGO AVATARreekardoo1.07 9032621
Cinematic Minifigure SeriesSgtdisney551.02 9193369
Ford Model A Gangsters' Getaway Car; ????????A ???? ???Brickadierg1.02 9219396
Western WIPMatija1.02 9259436
The Tumbler CollectionVelociraptor1.02 9307484
Lotus 43 F1Roscopc1.02 9360537
WOLFPACK CASTLEReekardoo1.02 9412589
HindenburgJjottens0.97 9503224
Themed Brick BoxOdd.robot0.97 9558280
UCS Tron Light CycleAbathar60.97 9639360
Sonic the Hedgehog (Green Hill Zone)Gtrocks11110.97 9907628
Dragon SlayersLizardman0.92 9947165

Not on the List? First, I tend to cut off projects after a certain day count, usually 10k.  Additionally, I only monitor projects that have at least 200.  Projects less than that are a little too volatile for proper assessment.  Finally, I track several weeks worth of data to get these numbers, so you might not show up until your project has been post 200 for a few weeks.  

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