Crawler Effect, why is it not on the list (yet), and continuing support
People who are new to my site might be wondering why the crawler is not on the table below. I usually post this at the end of the table (and still am) but since I am getting a lot of new readers now a days so I figured I should point it out, especially when such a popular new model shows up.
Basically if I reported on the current rate of support for the Crawler it would indicate something along the line of 44 days to maturity. While this is a "possibility" it is a very slim one. Most projects do their best in their first week and their last. The second week is almost always half as good as the first, at best, with a rapid decline after that to their "maintenance level" of support. This might not be the case, especially if the community is moved enough to keep expanding its exposure, but that is really up to the masses.
Back to the point at hand. My predictive model is based on several weeks of data to smooth out the effect of any bursts of support, especially that enjoyed by projects in their first week. So, it will be another couple weeks before this shows up for reporting.
In the meantime, if you want this project to keep a strong pace then you (yes YOU) need to do something about it. Tweet this project to everyone at NASA asking for a retweet. Heck, anyone with lots of followers and a technical or space stint will do, like Neil deGrasse Tyson. However in Dr.Tyson's case, the Hubble is a much more appropriate request.
Lets put that into some actual perspective real quick, Neil deGrasse Tyson has 878,364 followers. If he tweeted about it, and JUST 1% of his followers turned around and supported the shuttle crawler...that would bring the project to 9359 SUPPORT.
What to tweet? How about this:
@neiltyson Please vote for Lego Shuttle Crawler http://tinyurl.com/by5qxzw and Hubble http://tinyurl.com/a4l4z7t and they might get produced
You can apply this technique to any project you like. For instance
@StephenAtHome Vote for Minas Tirith and Argonath and Lego might produce them http://tinyurl.com/d9ks6gy
http://tinyurl.com/dy9sptk
OR
@grantimahara Please Vote for this gear logic lego sorting robot! http://lego.cuusoo.com/ideas/view/22356
Also, upvote the project in Reddits that are outside of Lego. Find one that exists or start your own. Start your own. Pinning it is another option. The point is that we really need to expose the project to people outside the established Lego community. All the "low hanging fruit" has been picked at this point. If speeds are to be kept up, the community needs to step up.
"Travelling Theatre"
The great readers of Brickset certainly turned out to support the Travelling Theatre this week. As a side effect the Medieval builds of AlepX got a bump in their support rates as well.
Approaching 1k Milestone
The Ginormous UCS All Terrain Armored Transport should be passing the 1k mark any day now, well, in about two days actually unless this article inspires some people ;).
Deadline Review
The next review is March 3rd, 2012. That is 87 days from today. So it looks like Exo Suit is going to play the same game that Space Marines did as they are currently at 89 days. They will likely make it as long as they maintain their healthy support rate through the next three months.Don't like how slow a project is going?
Give it some indirect support to help speed things up. This link has plenty of examples how.Days to 10K
Not on the List? First, I tend to cut off projects after a certain day count, usually 10k. Additionally, I only monitor projects that have at least 200. Projects less than that are a little too volatile for proper assessment. Finally, I track several weeks worth of data to get these numbers, so you might not show up until your project has been post 200 for a few weeks.
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